Friday, February 20, 2009

Off to Disney

You won’t see much here for the next week or so as we are leaving in the morning to make the 400 mile trip south towards Disney World.  Current plan won’t take us to any of the parks per say, but we’ll be in the Disney area staying on property tomorrow night before embarking on a 4 day cruise with Disney.

Hopefully next weekend I’ll have pictures and updates of my own from around the cruise line front.

Stay tuned…

Thursday, February 19, 2009

More Info on Restructuring

This just in from Central Florida:

LAKE BUENA VISTA -- Disney managers are meeting with the various departments at Walt Disney World involved in its most recent round of job cuts and restructuring Thursday.

That's according to a Disney official we spoke with Thursday morning.

The Disney spokesperson told News 13 that the company doesn't have a specific number when it comes to the layoffs - that will depend on budget reviews.

On Thursday, people across Central Florida will find out details of the restructuring plan, and how it will affect them.

On Wednesday, Disney announced plans to cut jobs as part of a move to reorganize the way it runs Walt Disney World and Disneyland.

A memo sent to employees on Wednesday blamed the mergers and job cuts on the nation's economic recession.

Jay Rasulo, chairman of Walt Disney Parks and Resorts, said 'The long-term success of Parks and Resorts depends upon our ability to adapt and innovate and respond to Guest preferences. These changes are essential to maintaining our leadership position in family tourism and reflect today's economic realities.'

Around 62,000 people in Central Florida work for Disney, but the company is not saying how many jobs will be cut, or where, exactly, those cuts will take place.

In his memo, Rasulo acknowledged the challenges inherent in a large-scale reorganization: 'Organization changes require difficult decisions, including the elimination of some roles. These decisions were not made lightly and we know this will be a challenging transition. The people affected are our friends and colleagues, and they have made valuable contributions.'

The restructuring is part of a concept the company is calling "One Disney." Disney said it's already seen some successes under the plan.

One Disney Successes
Maintenance and Safety
Holiday Castle Lighting
High School Musical
Toy Story

The latest job cuts follow Disney's offer last month of voluntary buyout packages to about 600 executives in the parks division.

Disney said global business and real estate development will be combined under a new team led by Executive Vice President Nick Franklin. "Back-of-house" operations, such as maintenance, at Walt Disney World in Orlando and Disneyland Resort in Anaheim, Calif., will be consolidated under Al Weiss, president of worldwide operations.

Engineering and design teams also will be merged into a single unit.

The changes take effect immediately. The Associated Press said Disney's revenue fell 4 percent in the latest quarter to $2.67 billion. Disney shares fell 21 cents Wednesday to close at $17.63.

Dick Cook on CNBC

Dick Cook talks with CNBC's Julia Boorstin about the Dreamworks deal and other things Disney studios related.

Friday, February 13, 2009

DLP Annual Meeting

Euro Disney S.C.A., the parent company that operates Disneyland Paris, had their annual meeting this week at DLP.  Overall, it looks like 2008 was a good year for DLP, with attendance, revenues etc.  all up.  So Disney Paris continues to improve and be successful, which is fantastic.

If you want to see some great pictures of the park, their current promotions and other things related to Euro Disney like this version of Disney U., then you should check out their presentation which is only here (WARNING: PDF link!).

Unfortunately the stock price has suffered much like the domestic Disney stock, down from over 10 Euro to 3.26 Euro since last July.

http://www.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=1&chds=1&chdv=1&chvs=maximized&chdeh=0&chdet=1234562071847&chddm=132855&q=EPA:EDL&ntsp=0

Hopefully they can keep it up!

Oh, and don’t forget to check out the new Disney XD experience that just launched yesterday.

Thursday, February 5, 2009

Sea World, Universal & Disney

I had a pretty long article queued up again on why I thought that Disney wouldn’t be interested in buying Busch Entertainment.  I still stand behind that theory, regardless of what the press has said. 

In this economy, when Disney is having problems with their own domestic parks, the last thing they would or should be interested in is buying up Busch Entertainment.  I guess they could keep Sea World and try to sell the other parks to someone like Cedar Fair or Six Flags, but frankly that’s a lot of work in my opinion.  They might even propose a split buyout with one of those companies right up front, which I still don’t think likely. 

Sea World itself isn’t that far of a stretch for Disney thematically, especially given the popularity of The Animal Kingdom.  But lets face it, the locations stink in relation to the other Disney parks in both California (it’s 90 miles south in San Diego) and in Florida (it’s about 10-15 miles up I-4 from Disney World). 

The logistical hurdle alone of getting people who fly in to these resort destinations to theses parks would be enormous, and surely Jay Rasulo and folks could come up with something better to do for a couple of billion bucks than buy two sea parks, a boutique experience park, a new water park and also be under the contractual commitment to build in Dubai.  Heck, I think you and I could come up with a few C, D and E ticket attractions for $1b (that’s the WHOLE budget for DCA, remember? and 1/4 of the price of the park proposal for Shanghai).

Yep, I said it, Dubai isn’t off as far as I can tell.  If you read that announcement the other day about not building anything in Dubai and thought the process was over, go read it again.  If you read it closely, it merely says Busch Entertainment and the builder have agreed to DEFER the project for the time being due to the state of the global economy.  Only the over zealous AP headline said CANCEL. 

Nope, my suspicion is that Disney will put their name in the hat, if they haven’t already, just to get a look at the books.  After all, wouldn’t you LOVE to know how they operate that boutique park you envy so much from the inside out?  How much would you pay to just know that info without actually buying it? 

Likewise, at what fire sale price would you pay for it just to take a competitor out of the market?  Nope, you don’t walk away from deals like this just because you don’t really want to buy.  You show up to make sure you don’t create another competitor without them working for it.

On another front, Universal gave away a BUNCH of tickets the other night after the Super Bowl, and I’d say the uptake on the offer for a free ticket for the first 100,000 people was pretty slow.  Why do I say that?  Well, because I just got an e-mail telling me that I won just such a ticket, and I didn’t register until almost 1:30 in the morning (long story about why I was up that late, mostly related to my current college class and NOT the Super Bowl). 

I have no idea what number out of the 100,000 I am, though I registered my wife at the same time just to have two entries in the associated sweepstakes and she didn’t get an e-mail at all (it’s only good for one person per household after all).  So obviously they are making sure nobody from the same house gets two tickets. 

I don’t think Disney could have done this frankly, at least not in the same way.  I suspect the cost to Universal isn’t anywhere close to what it COULD be for Disney with the free on your b-day deal.  After all, 100,000 tickets has a finite, known expense.  It’s hard to say how many people will take Disney up on their offer.  But 100,000 tickets without some special kicker at Disney would be a drop in the bucket, when the Magic Kingdom sees, what, 5 times that even on the most dead of days??

If you didn’t win, or didn’t enter, here is what the announcement looks like:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Michael Jones,

Congratulations! You are one of the first one hundred thousand (100,000) individuals to successfully register for the Universal Heroes Promotion, administered by ePrize.

For your registration, you will receive a Universal Orlando® 2-PARK Unlimited Admission Ticket valid for 7 consecutive days at both Universal Orlando theme parks! Please see the Official Rules for further prize details and eligibility requirements. You will receive your Universal Orlando Park ticket confirmation code in the mail within the next 4-6 weeks. The ticket confirmation code mailer will be sent to the address you provided in your registration. You will need to present your ticket confirmation code mailer and a valid form of identification* at the ticket windows of either Universal Studios Florida or Islands of Adventure theme parks. Your Universal Orlando® 2-park Unlimited Admission Ticket is valid March 1, 2009 through December 31, 2009.

At this time, no additional action is required on your part. Should we need further information from you, we will contact you at this email address.

As a reminder, only one ticket per household will be provided per the Official Rules. For a complete set of Rules for this promotion, please visit http://www.universalheroes.com/public/popup/rules.html.

Please refer to them for any questions you may have. Should you have any additional questions, please feel free to contact Prize Fulfillment Services by replying to this email. Please be sure to keep the original subject line in your reply.

Congratulations again and thank you for your continued patronage of Universal Orlando®.
Prize Fulfillment Services
fulfillment@eprizefulfillment.com


*Valid forms of identification include a U.S. government issued passport, a U.S. state issued driver's license or other form of photo identification issued by a state governmental agency.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

Listening in on Disney Conference call….

Here are the highlights so far from today’s Q1 conference call for the quarter ending Dec. ‘08. Bob is of course CEO Bob Iger and Tom is Tom Staggs, CFO.

The biggest one for all of YOU is that Disney Parks and Resorts has extended the ‘Get 7 for 4 Deal’ booking window into mid-march, and the offer window will be extended next week from June to the middle of August (wonder if they will still do free food in Florida?).

Discounts from Q1 didn’t include anything from the 7 for 4 deal, so expect revenues to be even lower going forward from what I can tell. If you own stock, expect a further price decline possibly.

Bookings for Q2 & Q3 are essentially flat from last year, which is good, but on higher discounts and lower spending by customers.

Last quarter was down 5% in NA, and lower merchandise spending was slightly made up for by higher ticket prices (ever wonder how your purchasing affected gate prices? Now you know.).

Foreign parks continued to do well overall.

Hotel spending is up modestly, but the rest is flat to down.

Both Bob and Tom also noted that they will not necessarily continue to cut costs just to make numbers, focusing on overall experience. Don’t expect that to mean your favorite thing won’t get cut, but that wholesale closings are unlikely as well.

The biggest hit for the quarter though was against fuel hedging. My guess is that they made a bet on future fuel for the Cruise Line and got nailed when gas fell through that price floor in October/November and is just now starting to moderate again. That hurts.

Resident attendance of the Parks has been fairly soft, more so than the other areas in P&R. So you locals aren’t turning out like you used too, though California is still better than in Florida.

Bob says more interested in keeping attendance up through price reductions than managing revenues by keeping prices up and accepting lower attendance. He called that keeping the 'pump primed' since the experience is what’s important in P&R, even if that means tighter margins.

---

In other news, DVD sales are getting HAMMERED, and that’s really hurting sales. Bob noted in Q&A that the average household has about 140 DVDs, which means that maybe that market is getting more selective. They will continue to release DVDs as events, and NOT move to selling bargain DVDs or package sets (i.e. don't expect a return to the Toon Studio 'crap'-quel days of yore).

They also reported the Disney Internet Media Group as a separate group for the first time: it lost money. They, like everybody else, are getting squeezed on margins, especially in video games.

They are looking at aggressive cost reductions across the LOB (line of business), especially in Corporate. I read that to mean expect more announcements of layoffs, trimmed schedules, etc. Expect jobs to remain VERY tight.